Monday Morning Sentimonies: My Kingdom For A Defense

Riders 40 - Argos 42 (double OT)

Disclaimer: Normally I give myself a 24 hour cooling off period after the game before penning my sentimonies to work any lingering excitement/rage/rye out of my system. The late Sunday games do not allow for this so apologies if this comes across as less coherent and more ranty than normal.

I could sum up my breakdown of the game in 2 sentences. The offense was outstanding except for that one play where Glenn telegraphed a pick 6. The defense was embarrassing except for that one play where Jake Doughty made that ridiculous pick. Its really that simple. Its a shame that such an awesome game with so much drama and big plays had to end in such a disappointing way.

This marks the second time in as many attempts where the defense has cost us a win. Our defense is so poor that if they were defending me I would likely end up found guilty of the OJ murders (he's still looking for the real killer right?). Last week I thought our coverage wasn't bad but our tackling was a laughing stock. This week our tackling was much improved but our coverage was non-existent. We let Toronto drive for game winning/tying TDs 3 times... 3! Dummy up and make a stop on one of those drives and we win. The offense kept putting the defense in a position to seal the game and the defense kept letting Toronto's offense into the end-zone. My 8 year old asked me who the best receiver in the CFL is. I responded Chad Owens... unless you ask the Riders who seem to believe is it some sort of invisible man because that's all they were covering. It wasn't just players sucking, it was the schemes, there was a play where Knox was in covergae on Chad Owens. Given all the cover guys we have on our team, Knox ranks only slightly ahead of George on the list of people who should be covering arguably the best receiver in the CFL. Kevin Glenn and Ryan Smith should get to go down the line and kick every member of the defense and defensive coaching staff in the ass because there is no way you should lose when you throw for close to 500 yards and score 40 points. Simply put if we can't find a way to keep teams under 30 points then we aren't going to come close to the post season.

Offense was outstanding. They methodically drove up and down the field all day. I loved the play calling. I loved the protection from our offense. I love how dialed in Kevin Glenn was. That pick 6 ugly (had he telegraphed it any more, I would have been able to run down from the second deck and pick that) and costly but he did way more than was needed to win that game. Holy S*%$ Ryan Smith!!! I will now refer to him by his own name from here on out and may even start referring to Dressler as "the old Smith" if he keeps this up. Messam was a workhorse. Pretty much every on O contributed in a meaningful way. A true team effort.

Bottom line is our defense is currently not good enough to win with. You would think that a head coach whose speciality is defense could maybe put together something a bit less useless. He's got until Friday to figure something out. Its frustrating because we are literally 2 stops away from being 2 and 0.

Other random thoughts:
- Only thing that would have made Paul McCallum's day any better is if he had a smoke in his mouth while kicking. Its nice to have a kicker who, you know, does his job when called upon.

- That penalty on Brackenridge in OT was ridiculous. If that is truly what constitutes a penalty in the new CFL then I hate what they have done to a once great game. He made a play on the damn ball.

- I think that Doughty has a bright future. For it being his first game he showed a lot of good things.

Riders vs. Argos: Pack Extra Bubble Wrap

The past few days in Riderville have been so surreal it’s like being in a dream… actually a nightmare. We lost our start QB for a full year before we even hit halftime. We lost 3 Canadians and an import starter in that same game. Then just for icing on the cake, just days later we announced that we were bringing back Paul McCallum. Even if I had taken the strongest mind-alerting drugs available I could not have scripted a scenario so ridiculous.  Yet this is our reality. At the rate we are going I’m expecting Danny Barrett to be added to our coaching staff and a midseason trade to bring Henry Burris back to Saskatchewan. The only thing remotely positive to say about all of this is that it may somehow result in a Frontlyne reunion concert.

But amongst all this craziness there is a football game going down on Sunday so let’s try and focus on that.

The Argos roll into town fresh off a huge upset over the Eskimos. Trevor Harris was razor sharp. The concerns regarding Toronto’s defense were allayed (at least for now). Only thing that really went wrong for them was an injury to reigning top special teams player Swayze Waters. Prior to the season I had this penciled in as a very winnable game… based on how Week 1 went for both teams I am no longer as confident in that.

Offensively, as much as Durant is irreplaceable I still think we will be OK under Glenn. We get Dressler back this week which will help. Our O-line played well last week but they will face a much harder test in the combo of Foley and Okpalaugo (not to mention Cleyon Laing who pretty much ended Mike Reilly’s season last week… for god sake sacrifice the body to keep him away from Glenn!!). We need to help them out by remaining committed to the run with Messam and Allen as well as getting the ball out quickly (luckily that is what Kevin Glenn loves to do). Outside of the front 4, I’m not convinced the Argos D is as good as they showed last week. We now have the advantage of game film on the new Casey Creehan-led D so I expect we will find some holes Edmonton did not. Three of the starters in that secondary are rookie players. Admittedly that Jefferson guy looks pretty good but I would be willing to test that group with our veteran receivers. We don’t need an air show but go long enough to keep the DBs honest and leave room for the run and underneath passes that I think will be our bread and butter.

Defensively, provided we can A) field a team with sufficient Canadians and B) tackle, we have a chance. Unfortunately based on what I saw last week, neither is a guarantee. Sounds like Akwasi Antwi may be at MLB with Regimbald and Kangkongolo swapping in. We are so desperate that we may even be seriously considering repurposing Milo as a MLB. That does not instill confidence but honestly it would be hard to be much worse than what Telvion Clark did last week. Getting Brackenridge back will be a boost but he is not a miracle cure. I always hate playing Owens and Durie because they can turn any pass no matter how seemingly innocent into a big gain. The answer to that problem is sound tackling… hence why I have some concern about our D this week. Our front 4 will be awesome as usual (Edmonton got 3 sacks last week, we can easily match that). Even if they don’t get to the QB, Chick and Hall should force Harris into making quicker decisions. Brandon Whitaker proved to be a big part of his new team’s plans and we need to limit that. Whitaker can run and catch so whoever our LBs are they better be ready in both phases. I fully expect our tackling to be improved this week. For 1, they would literally have to piggy back the Argo players for more yards to be worse than last week. For 2, Chamblin seems like he is starting to get mad enough to start doing some hitting of his own if things don’t improve.

I expect our offense to put up 25 points. I have faith in most of our defense but the loss of Emry looms huge and for ratio reasons guys like Antwi, Regimbald and Michael Carter may need to see the field and that scares me. Honestly this game could hinge on whether Telvion Clark plays like he did in the preseason or whether he plays like he did last week. If he can be a strong presence in the middle I think our D will be able to keep the Argos under 25. If he is a liability then I honestly don’t see us winning.

We will be testing the limits of our depth. I have been lamenting the lack of said depth for a while so as much as I hate to do this, I have to say…

Argos by 6 

Are You Smarter Than a Toddler: Week 2 Picks

Rider Prophet- Hamilton, Calgary, BC, Toronto
Prophet Jr- Hamilton, Calgary, BC, Toronto
Step-Prophet- Hamilton, Calgary, BC, Saskatchewan
Mrs Prophet - tbd

Monday Morning Sentimonies: Armageddon

Riders 26 - Bombers 31

It took me a long time to write this. I had to get over strong emotions such as sadness, anger and disappointment. Otherwise this would have mostly consisted of a mixture of swear words and incoherent sobbing. I also had to get over a hangover that resulted from my dedicated attempts to suppress the aforementioned emotions last night. Alas, despite my pounding head, I awoke to a world where the Riders lost, Durant's season was over and scientists for some reason did not develop a miracle cure for a ruptured achilles overnight.

As a Rider fan I've grown sadly accustomed to heart wrenching pain. But Durant injuring his Achilles before even halftime of his first game back from elbow injury ranks up there among the worst. As bad as I feel for the team, I feel 10 times worse for him. No one works harder and cares more about leading this team to another championship. For that all to be taken away so quickly sucks. I pray he has a full recovery in time for 2016.

As if that wasn't bad enough we also lost 3 very important Canadians to long term injury. Emry, MacDougall and Demski. Look, our Cdn depth was sketchy coming into the season but now we are in full on crisis mode... with 17 games left in the season. For god sake pump whoever is left full of steroids (at leas until the League resumes testing). I expect phones of guys such as Woldu, Alex Anthony and even Tino Suneri may have rung last night. I have a  feeling this will get worse before it gets better.

Now that I've addressed my sadness, let's move on to the failure and disappointment. The worst thing about Saturday's game was that in spite of being smoten with a crazy amount of injuries, that was a very winnable game... if we were capable of tackling. To call out tackling style embarrassingly awful would a compliment to the crap I saw on display. Not wrapping up, going for kill shots, poor angles. Mistakes that wouldn't cut it in peewee ball. We make even half of those missed tackles and we win the game, plain and simple.

Our defense over all was terrible. Our front 4 were as advertised: talented, solid, imposing, disruptive. The remaining 8 players were whatever the opposite of all those adjectives is. As I mentioned, we had no ability to tackle in the run game. Pass coverage was one of 2 outcomes every down: interference or defender in a trail position in coverage. It was pathetic. Obviously we haven't figured out how to survive in the new rules CFL and that is scary. Brackenridge can't fix all our defensive shortcomings.

Offensively, I honestly think we will be okay. Certainly not as good as if we had Durant leading the attack but the O-line held their own, run game looked good, receivers were making plays, Glenn had a couple ill advised passes but I think he will settle in more and more. Bottom line is we scored enough points to win. But that defense needs a lot of work... and will now have to do so without 2 key Canadian pieces. Honestly not sure how we re-jig the ration to manage Emry's absence. Regimbald/Kankongolo at LB? 2 Cdn DL? Webster a starting DB? None of those are good options and its not like you can just invent Canadian depth at this point.

Based on how things of started I'm going to have to increase my whiskey budget for this season. Buckle up... this is going to be a bumpy ride.

Other random thoughts:
- Kevin Glenn curses every starting QB he comes in contact with. He has never... ever stayed as the back-up anywhere he goes. Hiding behind his unassuming nice-guy look is a clearly someone adept in the voodoo arts.

- Give Winnipeg credit. Willy played a very good game. Their O-line and Cotton were deadly in the run game (albeit aided by our tackling deficiencies)

- Damn you Milo! You had 2 chances at that FG and missed both. Had he actually made that FG we would have been driving for a game winning FG late in the game instead of a TD. Big difference. Be better Milo!

- Telvion Clark had a rough, rough day. He was a terrible tackle (though he fit in well with the rest in that regard) and looked lost in pass coverage. Tackling and pass coverage and kinda important skills for an LB

- Ryan Smith has upped his game. He keeps this up we might even have to start using his actual name instead of "the other Dressler"

- There has to be some loophole that would have allowed Jerrell Freeman to put on the pads and play.

Riders vs. Bombers: Home Opener

Its football, on a Saturday night, the Riders are opening the season, at home, against the arch rival Bombers... simply put if you have a voice on Sunday morning there is something wrong with your circuitry. I have been pumped for this game for a long, long time. The preseason game  gave us a small taste but nothing compares to Rider game day when its for real.


Winnipeg started last season on fire but ended with barely a whimper. Their O-line was a train wreck (thanks in large part to Joe Mack's inability to manager talent... its not like that was his job or anything) and they also had embarrassingly bad defense... particularly run defense. They were easier to beat on the ground than a CFL drug screening program. But they've vastly improved their OL with additions of Picard, Stanley Bryant and draft pick Suhk Chung. It's ironic that Suhk is a key to improving the team given that in previous years they had more suck than they knew what to do with. They've also jettisoned Gary Etcheverry for the more reliable and fundamentally not insane Richie Hall. So admittedly they are a vastly improved team. But are they ready to content with the big boys yet? I don't think so. I think they've improved to the point where they can go toe to toe with most teams but they aren't quite there yet.

Offensively we need to attack Sam Hurl and that linebacking core. You can bet Richie will be dead set on proving you can't run all over the Bombers so I don't expect the run game to be a huge part of what we do but I would run at him early and often. I would also use RBs out of the backfield and WRs coming across in motion to try and get favourable match-ups on Hurl. Chris Randle (a converted DB playing LB now) is a top cover guy so he's a guy I'd look to run it at so we aren't playing to his strength. We have no Dressler but I'm sure if Ryan Smith just wore a #7 jersey most people wouldn't notice. A big key will be if our revamped OL can stand up to a pretty strong Winnipeg DL. Stating the obvious here but if Durant has time he will eat that defense alive. I expect we will need to use some screens and quick hitters to ease the pressure off of him. Medium passes and crossers to attack the middle of the field would be good to. Aside from Randle I'm not sold on Winnipeg's other LBs and they will be missing Maurice Leggett (one of the top safeties in the league) so that should help open up the middle too.

Defensively, I expect Willy to come out guns blazing and go on the attack early. Our secondary had better have their heads in the game from the first snap. It's no secret that our D-line is an intimidating force and that most teams would prefer to not them them pin their ears back and attack their QB (they do a good enough job of that regardless). That means Paris Cotton will see the ball lots. This is where the value of having a true middle linebacker should pay off. Between our DL, Emry and Clark, I think we should be able to hold the run in check and force Willy to throw. Willy is a good QB and improving steadily but with the pressure our front 4 can bring I don't think he can succeed in a hostile environment if he is forced to throw a lot. With Maze and Brown at HB we have as solid a combo as there is in the CFL. Not having Brack will hurt but we don't need MacDougall to be a superstar, just be solid and keep the plays in front of him. Hell if Scott Gordon can make a career as a safety surely MacDougall can be useful for one game. My bet is Hall and Chick force Willy into at least 2 turnovers.

Here's a fun fact Chamblin is 3-0 is season openers and has won those games by a combined score of 113-44!!! We have dominated opening day under him. I expect this game to be a very close game, we may even be behind at half time. But I think we have the edge at QB, D-line and LB and in the end, the Riders will prevail.

Riders by a Taj Smith TD.

See you in the stands. Let rock the stadium so much that we prematurely start the demolition process... given the current state of Winnipeg's "new" stadium, any visiting fans won't even notice the difference.

Official Predictions 2015

Twas just about the kickoff and Prophet did curse

“I almost forgot to do my predictions in verse!”

The fans will be wondering “what is the deal?

How we gonna do this year? What do you feel?”

I really need an assistant to whom I can delegate

And whom, when the predictions suck, I can then defenestrate

But alas the last of the budget was spent on rye

So let me chug that bottle back and give this a try

So here are my predictions with rhyme but no reason

On what should be an exciting CFL season

We ditched both coordinators gone Cortez and Hall

We brought in Chapdelaine who might actually pass the ball

Both were good at what they do but no longer a fit

Cortez in particular many won’t miss a bit

He ran the same run play even when we were losin’

He thought Tino was useless… can’t disagree with that conclusion

Gone Heenan, Gone Peters, Gone Woldu and Hughes

Gone Chad Kilgore… see it’s not all bad news

We’ve shored up our LBs and brought in Glenn to allay fear

We’ve got actual receivers not the bums who started last year

Our defense will by imposing led by the front 4

To the top of sack count will this unit soar

We will give up lots of yards and that will make some pout

But we’ll get a ton of turnovers to balance things out

Hall will get the nod for top defender in the West

Watch for Telvion Clark, at LB he may be the best

Our offense will now be an aerial show

Durant will top 5000 yards, but 6000?… no

We will spread the ball around to everyone

Except for Jamel, who’s impact will be slightly above none

He won’t top 350, he’ll score just one time

He’ll generally be found along the sideline 

Dressler will lead in yardage and Getzlaf in TDs

If feel dirty just writing that, like I have VDs

The top back will be Allen but he won’t crack 1000 yards

But him being active in the pass game is definitely in the cards

Messam will see touches but will be used less each week

He’ll be a role player, at certain times havoc he will wreak

We will start with bang as we usually do

Hot out of the gates at 6 and 2

It will seem its inevitable for a Grey Cup birth

But a midseason losing streak will bring us back to earth

Some Canadians will get injured, it’ll all go to hell

Our lack of depth will be easy to tell

The O-line will struggle and so will special teams

“Fire everyone!” the fans they will scream,

“We need to play Glenn, that Durant is a bum!”

“We should have kept Richie! Man Taman is dumb!”

But Chamblin won’t waiver, he’ll stick to his plan

The wins will come after a long losing span.

An 10-8 record is what I foresee

Thanks to a tie breaker, 2^nd place, Yippee!

The Esks will come to town and we will have one goal

Eliminate them and their coach… whose a total a-hole

The West-Semi will come down to a Milo try

The prospect of that will make most people cry

But fear not good people, there is no need for woe

For we will shout “Another kick for Milo!”

Then it’s off to Calgary for a chance at the Cup

But unfortunately that’s not where we’ll wind up

Will fall short in the final, a sad season ender

I’ll cope with my pain by going on a bender

So there you have it, that’s what I envision

But fear not for I don’t have the greatest precisions

My prediction accuracy is “a little bit”

So I cover that up with rhyming and wit

So bring on kickoff, with football don’t skimp

So I can see Chick swallow up Willy and make him go limp

Are You Smarter Than A Toddler 2015

For the 4^th straight year he’s back to remind that in many ways you remain inferior to a small child. 

 

 

That’s right it’s time for everyone’s favourite child related gambling contest Are You Smarter Than A Toddler (he’s getting too big to call a toddler but I was too lazy to bother coming up with a new name). Your chance to go head to head with a 3 year old in CFL pick em’. There will be prizes for the winner and much public shaming of those who lose.

Each week Prophet Jr. will predict the winning teams of all 4 CFL match-ups. Correctly predict more winners and you could win big prizes.

Rules are as followed:

- Contest is free to enter. Simply send an email to RiderProphet at gmail

- Each week I will post Prophet Jr.’s picks

- Each week you submit your picks by email

- You get 1 point for each correct pick

- At the end of the regular season, whoever has the most points overall will win the $50 grand prize.

- Also, every person who has more points than Prophet Jr. will be entered into a draw for an additional $30.

Prize money will be funded by selling off Prophet Jr’s toys so he had better win if he wants to keep his favourite stuffed animal.

For the chronic gambler among you (of which I know there are many) we are also bringing back the Put Your Money Where Your Mouth Is Bonus

- $5 to enter.

- The person with the most points at the end of the regular season wins the pot

- If interested contact me by email to make payment arrangements (I can accept a wide variety of payment forms… but be aware that farm animals and sexual favours, or some combination thereof remain expressly not accepted)

Season kicks off on Thursday so be sure to get yourself entered and your week 1 picks in ASAP.